Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria edged past Vasco da Gama 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 36% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 64%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.53 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vitoria and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama?
Vitoria 2-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 45%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.