Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 0-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vitoria had 47% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 53%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.38 — on chances, Vitoria could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitoria and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama?
Vitoria 0-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 45%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria) went the other way.