Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Sep 2024

Atletico Paranaense
0-2 HT 0-1
Palmeiras
📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 25% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.81
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
8%
6.48
X/2
10%
4.72
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.08
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.31
+26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.9 Crosses 20.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
05.11.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
02.07.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
26.10.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-3 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
07.09.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense LKU
31.08.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU

Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
0-2
AWAY Palmeiras
0.91 xG 3.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 434
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 35
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras beat Atletico Paranaense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Palmeiras found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 47% of the ball to Palmeiras's 53%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 0.91 to 3.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.33 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?

Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 31%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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