Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.53
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
12%
4.67
X/2
15%
5.98
X/X
15%
3.27
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.1
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.01
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.0 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
408 Passes 314
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
23.11.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
01.07.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
05.11.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 3-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
17.07.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-2 HT 2-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
13.09.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
2-0
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.54 xG 0.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 454
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense got the better of Sao Paulo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Fluminense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Fluminense had 44% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.54 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fluminense and 1.17 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 37%, draw 30%, Sao Paulo 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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