Juventude 1-3 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 39% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.87
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
14%
6.25
X/2
13%
4.68
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.24
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.9pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +24%
1.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.87
+7% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.8 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Internacional
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 2.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
290 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
13.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
11.07.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
22.01.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRG1
30.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.05.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-3
AWAY Internacional
0.62 xG 2.96
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
181 Passes 398
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 35
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional saw off Juventude 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Internacional made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 37% of the ball to Internacional's 63%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.62 to 2.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Juventude and 1.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Internacional?

Juventude 1-3 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventude 34%, draw 29%, Internacional 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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