Internacional 2-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
16%
3.72
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
10%
8.45
2/X
5%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.71/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.36
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
24.7 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.91 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
365 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BRK
11.07.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
22.01.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRG1
30.08.2022 Internacional Internacional 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.05.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
26.01.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-1
AWAY Juventude
3.42 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
311 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional edged past Juventude 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Internacional had 48% of the ball to Juventude's 52%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.42 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Internacional's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Juventude?

Internacional 2-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Internacional 52%, draw 23%, Juventude 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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