Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras found just enough to beat Sao Paulo 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Palmeiras's favour, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.17 to 0.62 — on chances created, Palmeiras won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Palmeiras against 0.50 for Sao Paulo.
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 2 - 1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 56%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.