Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.59
Over 2.5
33%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.8
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 39% vs market 34.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.46
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.84
X/2
12%
5.05
X/X
18%
3.75
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.63
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.1pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
1.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.00
-11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.6 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Internacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
301 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
20.09.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-2 Internacional Internacional BR1
31.05.2022 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
07.12.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
30.08.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.11.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-0
AWAY Internacional
0.71 xG 1.95
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 380
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense squeezed past Internacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Atletico Goianiense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 42% of the ball to Internacional's 58%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.71 to 1.95 — on chances, Internacional could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Internacional?

Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 29%, draw 31%, Internacional 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Internacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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