Criciuma vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR2
3-2
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Criciuma 2-2 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma and Vasco da Gama couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Criciuma had 51% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 49%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Criciuma and 1.17 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Vasco da Gama?
Criciuma 2-2 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 39%, draw 28%, Vasco da Gama 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.