Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Vasco da Gama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 52% of the ball to Palmeiras's 48%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.77 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras?
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 24%, draw 25%, Palmeiras 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.