Gremio vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Santos
BR1
3-3
HT 1-1
Santos
BR1
4-1
HT 2-0
Gremio
LKU
Gremio 1-0 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio edged past Santos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Gremio had 45% of the ball to Santos's 55%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.58 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 2.00 for Santos.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Santos?
Gremio 1-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gremio 45%, draw 27%, Santos 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.