Ceara 1-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 May 2025

Ceara
1-0 HT 0-0
Vitoria
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
18%
6.58
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.33
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
15%
4.61
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
16%
3.41
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
5.87
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.36/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.79
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.1 Crosses 18.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.1

Ceara vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vitoria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
439 Passes 196
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
11.05.2023 Ceara Ceara 0-2 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
09.03.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
24.04.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 2-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRCDN
06.03.2021 Ceara Ceara 3-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRCDN
27.08.2020 Vitoria Vitoria 3-4 HT 2-1 Ceara Ceara BRK

Ceara 1-0 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-0
AWAY Vitoria
1.16 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
261 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara squeezed past Vitoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ceara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 50% of the ball to Vitoria's 50%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.16 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.50 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Vitoria?

Ceara 1-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ceara 39%, draw 30%, Vitoria 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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