Corinthians 4-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
5.28
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.35
X/2
9%
6.06
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
9%
4.63
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.2pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.19
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.9 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Internacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 373
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
20.06.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
03.12.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.08.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
04.09.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 2-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.05.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
4-2
AWAY Internacional
3.89 xG 0.87
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
512 Passes 235
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians beat Internacional 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Corinthians had 65% of the ball to Internacional's 35%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.89 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Internacional?

Corinthians 4-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 45%, draw 28%, Internacional 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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