Internacional 1-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.93
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
10%
6.57
X/X
13%
3.82
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
9%
5.37
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.37
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.3 Crosses 16.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Corinthians
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
393 Passes 409
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.08.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
04.09.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 2-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.05.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
24.10.2021 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
04.07.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-0
AWAY Corinthians
0.52 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
285 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Internacional had 47% of the ball to Corinthians's 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.52 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Internacional and 1.67 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Corinthians?

Internacional 1-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Internacional 43%, draw 31%, Corinthians 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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