Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:19
Match Result
Home
49%
1.85
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.8
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.18
6+
4%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.55
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
9%
8.06
X/X
19%
4.29
2/1
2%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.53
2/X
5%
14.9
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fortaleza The Market 54%
Signal
AWAY Gremio The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Gremio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.42 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
334 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
14.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
14.10.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
28.06.2021 Gremio Gremio 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
10.01.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
13.09.2020 Gremio Gremio 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
1 - 0
AWAY Gremio
1.71 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
463 Passes 426
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fortaleza vs Gremio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fortaleza shaded a tight game against Gremio 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (56%) landed.

On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Fortaleza's favour, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.71 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Fortaleza against 0.33 for Gremio.

Fortaleza vs Gremio Result & Final Score

Fortaleza 1 - 0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fortaleza vs Gremio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 49%, draw 29%, Gremio 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✓ Under 2.5
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