Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BRK
3-2
HT 0-2
Botafogo
BRK
3-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo and Atletico Paranaense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Botafogo had 62% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 38%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.62 to 1.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo and 1.33 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 47%, draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No went the other way.