Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.1
X/1
21%
3.7
X/2
13%
9.99
X/X
8%
4.66
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
8.5
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.40/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.72
-9% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.5 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Criciuma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
249 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
03.06.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
21.09.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
18.05.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
11.08.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
14.04.2018 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-2 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-2
AWAY Criciuma
0.64 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
370 Passes 369
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma nicked a narrow win over Atletico Goianiense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Goianiense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 50% of the ball to Criciuma's 50%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.64 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.33 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 46%, draw 25%, Criciuma 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Under 2.5
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