Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sao Paulo v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sao Paulo 0-1 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
Cuiaba edged past Sao Paulo 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
File this under upsets: a 64% lean on Sao Paulo went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 66% to 34% in Sao Paulo's favour, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.87 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sao Paulo against 1.00 for Cuiaba.
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba Result & Final Score
Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sao Paulo vs Cuiaba Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 64%, draw 24%, Cuiaba 12%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.