Corinthians 2-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.22
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
18%
4.94
X/2
10%
6.48
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.76
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.18
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.3 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Internacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.71 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
385 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
03.12.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.08.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
04.09.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 2-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.05.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
24.10.2021 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
2-2
AWAY Internacional
1.96 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
351 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Internacional couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Corinthians had 53% of the ball to Internacional's 47%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.83 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Internacional?

Corinthians 2-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 39%, draw 28%, Internacional 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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