Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Botafogo
BR1
Bahia 1-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia edged past Botafogo 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bahia had 48% of the ball to Botafogo's 52%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 2.20 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bahia and 1.17 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Botafogo?
Bahia 1-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bahia 45%, draw 29%, Botafogo 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.