Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Palmeiras 3-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras swept aside Vasco da Gama 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, Palmeiras had 44% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.00 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama?
Palmeiras 3-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 63%, draw 19%, Vasco da Gama 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.