Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
Sport Recife 2-2 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife and Fluminense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 49% of the ball to Fluminense's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sport Recife and 1.00 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Fluminense?
Sport Recife 2-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 28%, draw 28%, Fluminense 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.