Botafogo vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
Botafogo 2-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo squeezed past Bahia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Botafogo had 51% of the ball to Bahia's 49%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.47 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo and 0.83 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Bahia?
Botafogo 2-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 53%, draw 25%, Bahia 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.