Mirassol FC 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Oct 2025

Mirassol FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Bragantino
📅02/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Mirassol FC vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.27
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.36
X/2
6%
9.37
X/X
13%
4.7
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
9%
7.51
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.36 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol FC v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.22/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.57
+13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.2 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Mirassol FC vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.05.2025 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
12.02.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BRPL1
28.01.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BREPAU
18.04.2021 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
19.03.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Bragantino BRK
08.02.2020 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BREPAU

Mirassol FC 1-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.04 xG 1.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
387 Passes 209
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
42 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Bragantino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Mirassol FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 61% of the ball to Bragantino's 39%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.17 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Bragantino?

Mirassol FC 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 55%, draw 25%, Bragantino 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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