Nacional vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
On our read, Nacional at home is the clear lean — the question is whether the price already knows it. The price (1.43, near 70%) says the market is more convinced still.
Results have deserted Progreso on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nacional and 1.50 for Progreso.
Nacional vs Progreso Kick-off Time
Nacional play Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/08/2026, kick-off 00:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Nacional vs Progreso Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Nacional vs Progreso is a Nacional win at about 57% probability, priced 1.43 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Nacional 57%, draw 19%, Progreso 24%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.