Leyton Orient 2-2 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.61
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.6
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.74
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.15/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.18
-28% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.1 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.55 xG 1.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 393
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 0-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.09.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
07.03.2015 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
13.12.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
02.09.2014 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-3 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
13.05.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
2-2
AWAY Peterborough United
0.92 xG 1.16
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
179 Passes 398
64% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient and Peterborough United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 36% of the ball to Peterborough United's 64%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.92 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.50 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Peterborough United?

Leyton Orient 2-2 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 34%, draw 27%, Peterborough United 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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