Leyton Orient 1-2 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.6
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
6.62
X/2
12%
4.91
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
21%
3.02
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.11/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.92
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
15.8 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.36 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
156 Passes 401
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
07.03.2015 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
13.12.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
02.09.2014 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-3 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
13.05.2014 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
10.05.2014 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-2
AWAY Peterborough United
0.74 xG 2.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
327 Passes 385
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United edged past Leyton Orient 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 47% of the ball to Peterborough United's 53%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.74 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Peterborough United's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.33 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Peterborough United?

Leyton Orient 1-2 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 31%, draw 28%, Peterborough United 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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