Sevilla 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.15
X/1
14%
3.69
X/2
7%
10.65
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
5%
8.96
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -12%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.71
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
27.0 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Valladolid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
433 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 0-3 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
19.08.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
20.03.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
19.12.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
26.06.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
24.11.2019 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
2.26 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Valladolid 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sevilla had 55% of the ball to Valladolid's 45%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sevilla's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 0.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Valladolid?

Sevilla 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 58%, draw 24%, Valladolid 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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