Real Madrid 3-2 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Sep 2024

Real Madrid
3-2 HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
31.0
X/1
24%
3.36
X/2
4%
30.0
X/X
10%
9.73
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
4%
24.0
2/X
6%
30.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.8pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.1pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.34/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.80
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
508 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.84 xG 1.17
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
562 Passes 261
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
21.12.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
19.02.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
14.08.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-4 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
23.01.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-4 HT 0-3 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
28.11.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Real Madrid 3-2 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
3-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.32 xG 0.88
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
673 Passes 249
92% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid squeezed past Deportivo Alaves 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid had 69% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 31%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.32 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Madrid and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves?

Real Madrid 3-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 68%, draw 20%, Deportivo Alaves 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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