Sturm Graz II 3-0 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
5.04
2-3 Goals
47%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 21% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.38
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
14%
5.68
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
16%
3.91
2/X
4%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.4pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.42/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.88
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
Crosses 13.0
4.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stripfing
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.05.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-0 HT 1-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
10.11.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
3-0
AWAY Stripfing
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II cruised past Stripfing 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sturm Graz II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 49% of the ball to Stripfing's 51%, shots finished 23-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.00 for Stripfing.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing?

Sturm Graz II 3-0 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 41%, draw 24%, Stripfing 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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