Sturm Graz II 2-0 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.07
2-3 Goals
40%
2.2
4-5 Goals
29%
2.45
6+ Goals
9%
4.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
18.65
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
10%
8.43
X/2
13%
4.71
X/X
11%
7.07
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
23%
2.29
2/X
8%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.65 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.30/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+7% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stripfing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
2-0
AWAY Stripfing
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II got the better of Stripfing 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stripfing at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 46% of the ball to Stripfing's 54%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing?

Sturm Graz II 2-0 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stripfing win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 28%, draw 27%, Stripfing 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stripfing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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