Lafnitz 0-4 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 May 2024

Lafnitz
0-4 HT 0-3
Ried
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lafnitz vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
61%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.57
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
10.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
19.85
1/X
6%
18.95
X/1
8%
15.15
X/2
21%
3.7
X/X
9%
7.74
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.64
2/X
6%
18.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.85 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
61%
Away Win
67%
-6.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lafnitz v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 71%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.60/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/1.08
+40% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
– Crosses 25.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lafnitz vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Ried
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Ried Ried 5-0 HT 3-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
05.06.2020 Ried Ried 3-1 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
16.08.2019 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-1 HT 0-1 Ried Ried AU2
11.05.2019 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 0-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
19.10.2018 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried ran out comfortable winners over Lafnitz 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Lafnitz and 2.20 for Ried.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Ried?

Lafnitz 0-4 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 18%, draw 21%, Ried 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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