FC Dornbirn 1913 2-1 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.18
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
14%
6.36
X/2
13%
5.03
X/X
11%
5.33
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
23%
3.03
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dornbirn 1913 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.44/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.95
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dornbirn 1913
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leoben
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Corners 3
11.11.2023 Leoben Leoben 6-0 HT 5-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
POST-MATCH FC Dornbirn 1913 vs Leoben
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dornbirn 1913 squeezed past Leoben 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leoben at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of FC Dornbirn 1913 vs Leoben?

FC Dornbirn 1913 2-1 Leoben in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dornbirn 1913 vs Leoben?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Dornbirn 1913 32%, draw 25%, Leoben 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leoben), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leoben) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
20 May 2024
17:00 St. Pölten vs Bregenz Analysis →
17:00 Floridsdorfer AC vs Grazer AK Analysis →
17:00 Admira Wacker vs First Vienna Analysis →
17:00 Sturm Graz II vs Stripfing Analysis →
17:00 Lafnitz vs Ried Analysis →
17:00 Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering Analysis →