Kapfenberger SV 1-3 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.57
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
19%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.1
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
21.85
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.87
X/2
12%
5.32
X/X
12%
5.82
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
22%
2.87
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.42
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
280 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 66%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
17.2 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 2.09
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
151 Passes 331
55% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.04.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
05.11.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
27.11.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
23.07.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
23.04.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering saw off Kapfenberger SV 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.83 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering?

Kapfenberger SV 1-3 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 31%, draw 25%, FC Liefering 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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