GOSK Gabela 0-4 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.75/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.98
-25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GOSK Gabela
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-3 HT 1-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
03.11.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-4 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.08.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
POST-MATCH GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar ran out comfortable winners over GOSK Gabela 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GOSK Gabela and 2.33 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar?

GOSK Gabela 0-4 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split GOSK Gabela 21%, draw 29%, Velez Mostar 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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