Uni. Catolica 2-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Sep 2024

Uni. Catolica
2-1 HT 2-1
Delfin
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Delfin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.76/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.99
+9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
22.2 Crosses 10.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Uni. Catolica vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Delfin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
429 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.05.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2022 Delfin Delfin 2-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
30.05.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-2 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
30.10.2021 Delfin Delfin 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-1 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-1
AWAY Delfin
0.90 xG 0.73
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
468 Passes 172
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Delfin 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 69% of the ball to Delfin's 31%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 0.90 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Delfin?

Uni. Catolica 2-1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 66%, draw 20%, Delfin 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5
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