Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Sep 2024

Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Bucaramanga v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.03/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.06
-22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.4 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.61 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
302 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
14.08.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.08.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.06.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.06.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.35 xG 0.55
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
183 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 39% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 61%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.35 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 28%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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