Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:40
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY Atletico Nacional The Market 43%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.61 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
302 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
14.08.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.08.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.06.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.06.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1 - 0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.35 xG 0.55
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
183 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Bucaramanga came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico Nacional 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

From a near-even 27% / 33% / 40% read, it was Atletico Bucaramanga who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Atletico Nacional saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.35 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Atletico Bucaramanga against 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score

Atletico Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 27%, draw 33%, Atletico Nacional 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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