Atletico Nacional 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Mar 2024

Atletico Nacional
0-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Nacional v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.42/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
16.9 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.08.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.06.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.06.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
28.02.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL

Atletico Nacional 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
0-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.31 xG 0.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
407 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional and Atletico Bucaramanga fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 64% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 36%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.31 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Atletico Nacional 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 43%, draw 30%, Atletico Bucaramanga 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
11 Mar 2024
02:20 Jaguares De Cordoba vs Millonarios Analysis →
04:30 Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pereira Analysis →