Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.18
-12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
17.7 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.13 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
30.01.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.10.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
13.02.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
07.11.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0-3
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
251 Passes 112
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira cruised past Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Deportivo Pereira made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 65% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 35%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.60 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pereira?

Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patriotas Boyaca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 37%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pereira 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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