Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.08/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.95
+9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.3 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
19.02.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
21.08.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
12.05.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
22.04.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOLK
20.02.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
2-1
AWAY Millonarios
0.85 xG 1.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 14
288 Passes 422
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 31
4 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaguares De Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Jaguares De Cordoba found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 41% of the ball to Millonarios's 59%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.36 — on chances, Millonarios could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 1.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Millonarios?

Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 31%, draw 31%, Millonarios 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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