Valerenga vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Aalesund
NOR
0-1
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
4-0
HT 0-0
Aalesund
NOR
2-2
HT 1-0
Valerenga
NOR
1-1
HT 1-0
Valerenga
NOR
Valerenga 4-1 Aalesund — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga cruised past Aalesund 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Valerenga had 62% of the ball to Aalesund's 38%, shots finished 17-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Valerenga and 0.67 for Aalesund.
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Aalesund?
Valerenga 4-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Aalesund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 54%, draw 21%, Aalesund 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.