Al Bukayriyah 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
64%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
13.75
2-3 Goals
42%
2.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.3
6+ Goals
10%
2.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
4%
+15.4pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.6pp
64%
Away Win
88%
-23.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +54%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
Crosses 21.6
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bukayriyah
0-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.02 xG 1.58
30% Ball Possession 70%
1 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
195 Passes 572
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
2 Box Touches 48
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Bukayriyah 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Bukayriyah had 30% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 70%, shots finished 1-17, expected goals 0.02 to 1.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Bukayriyah 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 20%, draw 16%, Al Hilal Riyadh 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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