Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Kholood v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Kholood 1-3 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Shabab Riyadh beat Al Kholood 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Al Kholood had 38% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 62%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.82 to 2.81.
What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Kholood 1-3 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 32%, draw 24%, Al Shabab Riyadh 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.