NEC vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
NEC 1-0 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics
NEC edged past UPDF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; NEC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, NEC had 58% of the ball to UPDF's 42%, shots finished 3-4.
What was the final score of NEC vs UPDF?
NEC 1-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs UPDF?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NEC 40%, draw 31%, UPDF 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.