Frydek-Mistek 1-2 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
64%
Away Win
64%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frydek-Mistek EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 69%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.03
-100% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frydek-Mistek
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
13.09.2014 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-0 HT 0-0 Frydek-Mistek Frydek-Mistek ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frydek-Mistek
1-2
AWAY FK Pardubice
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 17
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frydek-Mistek vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice squeezed past Frydek-Mistek 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Pardubice as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Frydek-Mistek had 33% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 67%, shots finished 5-22.

What was the final score of Frydek-Mistek vs FK Pardubice?

Frydek-Mistek 1-2 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frydek-Mistek vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Frydek-Mistek 18%, draw 18%, FK Pardubice 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Pardubice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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