Karlovy Vary 0-5 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
82%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
16%
X/X
4%
2/1
2%
2/2
57%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
5%
+3.4pp
10%
Draw
8%
+2.1pp
82%
Away Win
88%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlovy Vary EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
236 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlovy Vary
0-5
AWAY Sparta Prag
23% Ball Possession 77%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karlovy Vary vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag swept aside Karlovy Vary 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Karlovy Vary had 23% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 77%, shots finished 4-16.

What was the final score of Karlovy Vary vs Sparta Prag?

Karlovy Vary 0-5 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlovy Vary vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Karlovy Vary 8%, draw 10%, Sparta Prag 82%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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