Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-1 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siarka Tarnobrzeg EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 66%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
263 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2023 Siarka Tarnobrzeg Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
07.08.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 6-0 HT 4-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg Siarka Tarnobrzeg POL2
POST-MATCH Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow squeezed past Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hutnik Krakow as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hutnik Krakow led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 3.50 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hutnik Krakow?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0-1 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Siarka Tarnobrzeg 24%, draw 18%, Hutnik Krakow 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hutnik Krakow), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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