Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 6
24.09.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk nicked a narrow win over Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 41% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 59%, shots finished 4-20.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 24%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ BTTS Yes
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