Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lechia Gdansk at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 56% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 44%, shots finished 27-12.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 26%, draw 27%, Lechia Gdansk 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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