Elana Torun 1-3 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
67%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+6.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.4pp
67%
Away Win
76%
-9.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elana Torun EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -44%
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
169 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elana Torun
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
01.07.2020 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Elana Torun Elana Torun POL2
06.10.2019 Elana Torun Elana Torun 0-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elana Torun
1-3
AWAY Widzew Lodz
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elana Torun vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz got the better of Elana Torun 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Elana Torun had 32% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 68%, shots finished 9-26.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Elana Torun and 1.00 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Elana Torun vs Widzew Lodz?

Elana Torun 1-3 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elana Torun vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Elana Torun 15%, draw 19%, Widzew Lodz 67%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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